The ‘White Christmas Map’ Reveals Every Country’s Chance of Snow on Christmas Day – and Every State too…

For the big day to be defined as a ‘White Christmas’, the Met Office requires “one snowflake to be observed falling in the 24 hours of 25th December”. This means that, even if you do achieve the fabled White Christmas, it could be something of an underwhelming experience.

Some of us will wish each and every year for a White Christmas; but is a cheeky winter trip to Belarus or Estonia at the top of many peoples’ Christmas list?

New research, collated by Vouchercloud and based on the last nine years of December snowfall Russia (63.1%), Belarus (55.6%), Estonia (50.9%) and Lithuania (50.2%) officially lead the way when it comes to the odds of seeing a White Christmas, while some rather picturesque locations – Canada (45.5%), Norway (43.4%), and Iceland (40.9%) Sweden (33.7%) included – are also likely to see a sprinkle of snow on the 25th.

Back in the USA, Alaska (62.8%), Vermont (52.3%) and Minnesota (36.9%) top the list, leaving the others in the dust – particularly Arizona, California, Florida, Hawaii and Texas, where the chance of Christmas snowfall is a miserable 0%.

They aren’t alone, however, there are 127 countries across the world who have a veritable 0% chance of seeing snow…

Every country's chance of seeing snow on Christmas day
Every country's change of seeing snow on Christmas day
CountryCapital CityPercentage Chance
RussiaMoscow0.60887096774194
BelarusMinsk0.52822580645161
FinlandHelsinki0.49193548387097
EstoniaTallinn0.49193548387097
LithuaniaVilnius0.48387096774194
GreenlandNuuk0.47177419354839
KazakhstanAstana0.43951612903226
CanadaOttawa0.43548387096774
UkraineKiev0.43145161290323
IcelandReykjavik0.42338709677419
NorwayOslo0.42338709677419
LatviaRiga0.39516129032258
LiechtensteinVaduz0.33870967741935
SwedenStockholm0.32258064516129
Bosnia and HerzegovinaSarajevo0.32258064516129
PolandWarsaw0.28225806451613
Czech RepublicPrague0.26209677419355
AndorraAndorra la Vella0.24596774193548
BulgariaSofia0.24193548387097
KosovoPristina0.24193548387097
LuxembourgLuxembourg City0.23790322580645
GeorgiaTbilisi0.2258064516129
KyrgyzstanBishkek0.21774193548387
GermanyBerlin0.20564516129032
MoldovaChisinau0.20564516129032
SwitzerlandBern0.19354838709677
DenmarkCopenhagen0.18951612903226
South KoreaSeoul0.17338709677419
North KoreaPyongyang0.16532258064516
SerbiaBelgrade0.15725806451613
CroatiaZagreb0.14516129032258
SlovakiaBratislava0.14112903225806
RomaniaBucharest0.13709677419355
SloveniaLjubljana0.13306451612903
MongoliaUlaanbaatar0.13306451612903
UzbekistanTashkent0.12096774193548
AustriaVienna0.11290322580645
HungaryBudapest0.11290322580645
TurkeyAnkara0.10887096774194
MacedoniaSkopje0.10483870967742
NetherlandsAmsterdam0.1008064516129
BelgiumBrussels0.1008064516129
FranceParis0.092741935483871
ScotlandEdinburgh0.07258064516129
TajikistanDushanbe0.064516129032258
EnglandLondon0.060483870967742
AfghanistanKabul0.060483870967742
Northern IrelandBelfast0.05241935483871
AzerbaijanBaku0.048387096774194
ArmeniaYerevan0.044354838709677
TurkmenistanAshgabat0.044354838709677
San MarinoCity of San Marino0.040322580645161
WalesCardiff0.036290322580645
USAWashington DC0.036290322580645
IrelandDublin0.032258064516129
MontenegroPodgorica0.028225806451613
ChinaBeijing0.028225806451613
BhutanThimphu0.016129032258065
SpainMadrid0.012096774193548
JordanAmman0.012096774193548
GreeceAthens0.0080645161290323
IranTehran0.0080645161290323
IsraelJerusalem0.0080645161290323
JapanTokyo0.0080645161290323
SyriaDamascus0.0080645161290323
BoliviaSucre0.0080645161290323
Vatican CityVatican City0.0040322580645161
ItalyRome0.0040322580645161
AlbaniaTirana0.0040322580645161
MonacoMonaco0.0040322580645161
MicronesiaPalikir0
Cote d'IvoireYamoussoukro0
Myanmar (Burma)Naypyidaw0
TaiwanTaipei0
CyprusNicosia0
MaltaValletta0
PortugalLisbon0
AlgeriaAlgiers0
AngolaLuanda0
BeninPorto-Novo0
BotswanaGaborone0
Burkina FasoOuagadougou0
BurundiBujumbura0
CameroonYaounde0
Cape VerdePraia0
Central African Republic (CAR)Bangui0
ChadN'Djamena0
ComorosMoroni0
Democratic Republic of CongoKinshasa0
DjiboutiDjibouti City0
EgyptCairo0
Equatorial GuineaMalabo0
EritreaAsmara0
EthiopiaAddis Ababa0
GabonLibreville0
GambiaBanjul0
GhanaAccra0
GuineaConakry0
Guinea-BissauBissau0
KenyaNairobi0
LesothoMaseru0
LiberiaMonrovia0
LibyaTripoli0
MadagascarAntananarivo0
MalawiLilongwe0
MaliBamoko0
MauritaniaNouakchott0
MauritiusPort Louis0
MoroccoRabat0
MozambiqueMaputo0
NamibiaWindhoek0
NigerNiamey0
NigeriaAbuja0
Republic of the CongoBrazzaville0
RwandaKigale0
Sao Tome and PrincipeSao Tome0
SenegalDakar0
SeychellesVictoria0
Sierra LeoneFreetown0
SomaliaMogadishu0
South AfricaCape Town0
South SudanJuba0
SudanKhartoum0
SwazilandMbabane0
TanzaniaDodoma0
TogoLome0
TunisiaTunis0
UgandaKampala0
ZambiaLusaka0
ZimbabweHarare0
BahrainManama0
BangladeshDhaka0
BruneiBandar Seri Begawan0
CambodiaPhnom Penh0
IndiaNew Delhi0
IndonesiaJakarta0
IraqBaghdad0
KuwaitKuwait City0
LaosVientiane0
LebanonBeirut0
MalaysiaKuala Lumpur0
MaldivesMale0
NepalKathmandu0
OmanMuscat0
PakistanIslamabad0
PhilippinesManila0
QatarDoha0
Saudi ArabiaRiyadh0
SingaporeSingapore0
Sri LankaSri Jayawardenepure Kotte0
ThailandBangkok0
United Arab Emirates (UAE)Abu Dhabi0
VietnamHanoi0
YemenSana'a0
Antigua and BarbudaSaint John's0
BahamasNassau0
BarbadosBridgetown0
BelizeBelmopan0
Costa RicaSan Jose0
CubaHavana0
DominicaRoseau0
Dominican RepublicSanto Domingo0
El SalvadorSan Salvador0
GrenadaSaint George's0
GuatemalaGuatemala City0
HaitiPort-au-Prince0
HondurasTegucigalpa0
JamaicaKingston0
MexicoMexico City0
NicaraguaManagua0
PanamaPanama City0
Saint Kitts and NevisBasseterre0
Saint LuciaCastries0
Saint Vincent and GrenadinesKingstown0
AustraliaCanberra0
FijiSuva0
KiribatiTarawa0
Marshall IslandsMajuro0
New ZealandWellington0
Papua New GuineaPort Moresby0
SamoaApia0
Solomon IslandsHoniara0
TongaNuku'alofa0
TuvaluFunafuti0
VanuatuPort Vila0
ArgentinaBuenos Aires0
BrazilBrasilia0
ChileSantiago0
ColombiaBogota0
EcuadorQuito0
GuyanaGeorgetown0
ParaguayAsuncion0
PeruLima0
SurinameParamaribo0
Trinidad and TobagoPort of Spain0
UruguayMontevido0
VenezuelaCaracas0



U.S. States Most Likely to See a White Christmas

Every U.S. State's chance of seeing snow on Christmas day
States most likely to see snow on Christmas day
StateState CapitalPercentage Chance
AlaskaJuneau0.6613
VermontMontpelier0.5605
MinnesotaSaint Paul0.4113
MichiganLansing0.3548
MontanaHelena0.3548
North DakotaBismarck0.3548
WisconsinMadison0.3508
UtahSalt Lake City0.3145
NevadaCarson City0.3065
IdahoBoise0.2863
South DakotaPierre0.2661
MaineAugusta0.2621
IowaDes Moines0.2419
WyomingCheyenne0.2419
New MexicoSanta Fe0.2339
IndianaIndianapolis0.2258
West VirginiaCharleston0.2258
New YorkAlbany0.2177
OhioColumbus0.2056
New HampshireConcord0.1976
NebraskaLincoln0.1895
ColoradoDenver0.1532
KentuckyFrankfort0.1532
IllinoisSpringfield0.1452
KansasTopeka0.1452
MassachusettsBoston0.1371
PennsylvaniaHarrisburg0.129
ConnecticutHartford0.121
MissouriJefferson City0.1169
Rhode IslandProvidence0.1089
New JerseyTrenton0.0726
OklahomaOklahoma City0.0605
VirginiaRichmond0.0565
MarylandAnnapolis0.0524
TennesseeNashville0.0484
DelawareDover0.0403
ArkansasLittle Rock0.0242
WashingtonOlympia0.0242
GeorgiaAtlanta0.0202
MississippiJackson0.0202
North CarolinaRaleigh0.0202
OregonSalem0.0161
AlabamaMontgomery0.0121
South CarolinaColumbia0.0046
LouisianaBaton Rouge0.004
ArizonaPhoenix0
CaliforniaSacramento0
FloridaTallahassee0
HawaiiHonolulu0
TexasAustin0


UK Cities Most Likely to See a White Christmas

CityCountryPercentage Chance
St DavidsWalesN/A
StirlingScotland0.129
AberdeenScotland0.125
InvernessScotland0.1129
BradfordEngland0.1048
NewryNorthern Ireland0.0847
CarlisleEngland0.0847
WolverhamptonEngland0.0847
BirminghamEngland0.0806
PortsmouthEngland0.0806
ArmaghNorthern Ireland0.0766
DundeeScotland0.0766
Newcastle upon TyneEngland0.0726
DerbyEngland0.0726
EdinburghScotland0.0726
GlasgowScotland0.0685
YorkEngland0.0685
LeicesterEngland0.0645
BangorWales0.0645
CambridgeEngland0.0645
DurhamEngland0.0645
OxfordEngland0.0645
PeterboroughEngland0.0645
Stoke-on-TrentEngland0.0645
WellsEngland0.0645
LichfieldEngland0.0605
LincolnEngland0.0605
NorwichEngland0.0605
CanterburyEngland0.0605
LondonEngland0.0605
CoventryEngland0.0605
PrestonEngland0.0605
WestminsterEngland0.0605
GloucesterEngland0.0565
LeedsEngland0.0565
BathEngland0.0565
ChesterEngland0.0565
SalisburyEngland0.0565
SheffieldEngland0.0565
SunderlandEngland0.0565
WakefieldEngland0.0565
Kingston upon HullEngland0.0524
DerryNorthern Ireland0.0524
ManchesterEngland0.0524
BelfastNorthern Ireland0.0524
ElyEngland0.0524
RiponEngland0.0524
SalfordEngland0.0524
St AlbansEngland0.0524
WorcesterEngland0.0524
LancasterEngland0.0484
HerefordEngland0.0444
LisburnNorthern Ireland0.0444
LiverpoolEngland0.0444
Brighton and HoveEngland0.0444
BristolEngland0.0444
LimerickIreland0.0444
NewportWales0.0403
NottinghamEngland0.0403
WinchesterEngland0.0403
CorkIreland0.0403
CardiffWales0.0363
ChichesterEngland0.0363
SouthamptonEngland0.0323
DublinIreland0.0323
ExeterEngland0.0242
PlymouthEngland0.0242
SwanseaWales0.0242
WaterfordIreland0.0242
GalwayIreland0.0242
TruroEngland0.0161

Via vouchercloud.com

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